10/26/2026
Political Picture · elections

Lula bucks prediction markets with Brazilian presidential win

Filed by Deacon Rift
Lula bucks prediction markets with Brazilian presidential win
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva bucked prediction market odds with his unlikely win in the Brazilian presidential runoff election this weekend. On Sunday, Lula was rated an underdog in the election, as his odds were at 20.2 percent on Kalshi and 20.5 percent on Polymarket at noon EDT. His opponent, Flávio Bolsonaro, the…
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Deacon Rift
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Lula bucks prediction markets with Brazilian presidential win — Political Picture