Mike Johnson: ‘The polls are wrong’
Mike Johnson has good reason to talk down the polls, because the numbers he's looking at are not pretty. But claiming the surveys are wrong is easier than proving it. Every campaign has its own internal data, and Johnson may genuinely believe his side is closer than the public numbers suggest. That happens more often than people think, especially when turnout models are uncertain.
What I'd want to know is what he's basing that confidence on. If Republicans have strong early voting numbers or internal district-level surveys, that would be worth hearing about. Without that, this reads like standard pre-election messaging, the kind of thing a leader says to keep his caucus from panicking.
The midterms will answer the question either way. Polls have been wrong before, in both directions, and a lot can shift in the final week. I just wouldn't bet the House on a hunch.